What is the probability of the Yellowstone Volcano erupting in the next 100 years?
138240
WTF? It wasn't a yes or no question.\n\nYellowstone has a recurrance interval of 600,000 years.  That the average time between eruptions.  It's been 640,000 years since the last eruption.  However, don't get too excited, the standard deviation is HUGE.  On geologic time(10,000 yrs) there's a decent chance of eruption.  On human time (the next 60 years) there's about zero.
117159
Short answer: 7093 year round in Mammoth Springs, and approx 35,000 in peak season. \n\nI've been thinking about this question since you posed it. It is hard to answer correctly because the Long Valley Caldera might include every part of a potential volcanic eruption, or it might just include the area the USGS has identified as the South Deadman Creek Dome where there are tree kills from carbon dioxide. Here is the USGS map that shows the past 5000 years of eruptions:\nhttp://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs073-97/eruptions.html\n\nUsing this map, the population could be limited by the outline of the Long Valley Caldera as the USGS defines it. That would include Mammoth Lakes. This area's population can easily double or triple if you count tourists and skiers who are not counted in a census. The year 2000 census shows 7093 residents. The visitors bureau in Mammoth estimates peak season occupancy at 35,000 people. \n\nReviewing the area in Google Earth it is fair to say that there are almost no residences outside of Mammoth that are within the immediate area of the caldera. However, a major eruption here could affect several counties, or even several states. Past eruptions have spread ash as far as Kansas. This is the real challenge to answering your question.\n\nIf you want to look into the problem more I would suggest that you download Google Earth software here:  http://earth.google.com/\nIt is a GIS program and does include a layer for census data. Using this census data you could examine various scenarios to see what the population answer is for different areas.
568172
Yes. It is a bit of a worry as its is displaying signs of 'grumbling'. If you are interested, there has been a volcanic eruption before which is potentially the size if Yellowstone blows it top. It happened 60-65Ma ago and is one of the possible reasons the Dinasaurs died out. \n\nIf and when Yellowstone goes, there is a very good chance that pretty much most of the US is going to be destroyed by either the flowing lava or the gases released into the atmosphere.\n\nAnyway I have provided you a link to the above mentioned Deccan Traps.
803503
The number of fires we are going to get in 2007 I think will be equivalent to the number of uncontrolled bushfires, accident courses of fires and number cigarette butts that will be thrown into the dried vegetation that is ready to burn after being dried. This is going to happen in all the continents and almost all the countries where there will be favourable weather that will dry up the grasslands and forest or even farms...I hope you now get the clue as to how many...uncountable man!
854819
It mostly depends on the direction the meteor comes from and how fast it was before entering Earths atmosphere (although because of resistance of air the speed cannot exeed a certain velocity - I'd say >1000 miles per hour - before it breaks up into pieces), then it depends on where it hits the surface of the ocean ( if it's next to you - not as bad as 5 miles offshore )\nso to say the deeper the water is the more likely is a tsunami\n\nUnderwater earthquakes are even harder .... It depends on the force of the Earthquake, it's epicentrum and then of course how deep the water is....\n\n\nbut to take likely figures I'd say the meteor should have 1 mile diameter to destroy the west coast - or at least a part of it\nthen the earthquake mush be somewhere around 6 to 7 on Richter scala\n\n\nwhy do you ask - are you on a apocalyptical trip, if so you've forgotten about the supervolcano in Yellowstone
517283
That is the BIG question!  When will it happen?  No one knows and there are only guesses.  Some believe it will not happen as a one big one because the Bible foretells us that it one hundred pound rocks will fall from the sky.  Scientist say we are past due for a big one to hit because the earth was hit so many millions of years ago. \n\nI do not think sitting around and worrying about it will be a productive and worthy of our attention.  When it happens it will happen.  The chance of it happening in our life-time (compared to the millions of years since the last one) is so small that it is not worth computing.  \n\nWe have plenty of people being dooms-day prophets, we need to be more optimistic and looking for how we can improve each others lives for the here and now.
794991
Volcanoes will not destroy the earth.\n\nThe second coming of Christ is the blessed hope of the church, the grand climax of the gospel. The Saviour's coming will be literal, personal, visible, and worldwide. When He returns, the righteous dead will be resurrected, and together with the righteous living will be glorified and taken to heaven, but the unrighteous will die. The almost complete fulfillment of most lines of prophecy, together with the present condition of the world, indicates that Christ's coming is imminent. The time of that event has not been revealed, and we are therefore exhorted to be ready at all times. (Titus 2:13; Heb. 9:28; John 14:1-3; Acts 1:9-11; Matt. 24:14; Rev. 1:7; Matt. 24:43, 44; 1 Thess. 4:13-18; 1 Cor. 15:51-54; 2 Thess. 1:7-10; 2:8; Rev. 14:14-20; 19:11-21; Matt. 24; Mark 13; Luke 21; 2 Tim. 3:1-5; 1 Thess. 5:1-6.)
546845
I am not sure that if there would be recorded  a year called 10000 in the future... I think it would be an optimistic guess to imagine 3000's... Don't forget!       The Judgement Day is approaching day by day... Well, if i supposed to say, human will be naked at the year 10000...
504948
Odds are the world will end in about 5 billion years when the sun explodes.\n\nHumans will probably end much sooner though.
1013442
Well, just by playing the odds, it's a good bet that the Earth will be destroyed some day. It's basic math.\n\nAll Hail Steven Hawking!\n-SD-\n\nROFLMAO!\n\nJust looked at the post below me.  Lets see, Christians have been saying "Very soon now." for 2000 years, and it still hasn't happened. Look on the bright side, eventually, you'll be right! Sheer happenstance is bound to end our days at some point.\n\nUnder the circumstances, "Very soon now" is the same thing as saying "7-come-11, Baby needs a new halo!".\n\n-SD-
1089411
You think we are seeing lots of volcanic activity NOW?\n\nRent a copy of Walt Disney's "Fantasia" and watch the part about the early ages of the Earth.\n\nFor millions of years, all this planet DID was erupt.\n\nOf course, your question is tied more to relatively recent times.  The planet seems to pass through periods of greater and lesser volcanic activity.  Much of it is stimulated by movement of the great "tectonic plates" on which our globe is formed.  These are huge chunks of the Earth's crust that slide and bump into one another.  They "float" on top of the more liquid, or molten, components of the Earth's core.\n\nVulcanologists, or specialists in volcanoes, can answer your question with greater precision.  In general, there has been an apparent increase in volcanic activity over the past 40-50 years.  That's how long I've been paying attention, anyhow.  But some of this appearance of activity is a product of remembering volcanic events - a few this year, another one or two some years later, and so on.  Most what I have noticed is that volcanic activity seems to have moved around the world.  Where one volcano goes ka-boom, or squirts out some lava for a time and then goes quiet, later there's a new one doing the same elsewhere.  After a time, it seems there are lava flows everywhere, when in fact there are not.\n\nThe most persistent volcanic activity I can remember is in Hawaii, where for at least 20 years (or so it seems) the Big Island has slowly been growing as a result of constant lava flow.\n\nThe 1800's overall seem to have been far more active in terms of volcanic eruptions and disasters than the past 100 years.  Some of the most horrendous volcanic disasters took place in that century.\n\nWe should remember that ours is not a "quiet" planet, but an ever-active ball of dirt, water and air.  It's an interesting place, eh?
194908
More than likely, you will find out within the next 100 years...
247629
There are approximately 1500 active volcanoes in the world. About 150 of them are located all along the ring of fire.\n\n:)
903234
Cant rule out the possibility. \nBut..... based on currently available technology its very unlikely  within the next 50 to100 years. Definitely not in our life time.
1010195
Long before any recorded human history in Yellowstone, a massive volcanic eruption spewed an immense volume of ash that covered all of the western U.S., much of the Midwest, northern Mexico and some areas of the eastern Pacific Coast. The eruption dwarfed that of Mount St. Helens in 1980 and left a huge caldera 43 miles by 18 miles (70 km by 30 km) sitting over a huge magma chamber (see Geology section and Yellowstone Caldera). Yellowstone has registered three major eruption events in the last 2.2 million years with the last event occurring 640,000 years ago. Its eruptions are the largest known to have occurred on Earth within that timeframe, producing drastic climate change in the aftermath
245034
There will definitely be another if not many more.  I'm pretty that it will come soon, maybe within a thousand years.\n\nWow, I'm suprised I'm the only one to believe this.  People, just because it is getting warmer doesn't mean it always will.  Global climate is constantly changing.
1171929
YES.  There is a 99.9% possibility it will occur within the next hour...the heat of the day is upon us!