how will sanctions affect iran in the short term?
346639
they wont there are no more sanctions that the US can put on them so that they feel pressure. they will get what they want from Russia china and surrounding countries
976544
Unfortunately, governments will make some decisions concerning visas based on their relationships with other governments. Iranians, for instance, may be getting "punished" because of their current president's intolerant stance towards Israel and the debate over Iran's nuclear program. Hopefully, things will change because most know that Iran's population is highly educated.
304256
In a short answer YES if the UN don't do any more than they did with Iraq and all the resolutions that were written and not responded to.\n\nThe same thing will happen with Iran. The United States will go to the UN ask for a resolution to inspect Iran's nuclear material. The UN will pass such a resolution only to have Iran disobey the letter of the UN resolution. After so many resolutions President Bush will ask for counties that want to go in with the United States in bombing Iran's nuclear program up please join us in this endeavor. We will get about 15 countries that will give a certain amount of troops and equipment.  We will bomb them for about 3-5 days maybe a week, that will be the end of Iran's nuclear program gone up in smoke.\n\nA blue print of what happened with Iraq. The exact same thing.\n \nI hope this has been of some use to you, good luck
693957
Not only that. The same sequence of warnings could happen for Iran also. These things happen as long as there is ground to believe US (and other nations of the nuclear club) are not fair in their demands when they themselves indulge in nuclear weapons. Something like saying "I am a thief and will steal whatever I can. But anything you steal is a crime and so don't do it"
104159
No. The UN would not authorise such an action, not that Iran is facing any action fron the UN at the moment anyway. Also, the fallout would affect neighbouring countries. And it may help unite Arab countries against the West.\n\nGiven that Iran is a country surrounded by enemies, they may have some justification for their actions. Somewhat the same justification as Israel.
335658
might be iran next year
210236
I don't see anything happening over Iran too soon.  Any US president would be insane to start a war with Iran and should be sent to a psychiatric facility immediately.  The EU and NATO definitely won't do anything to piss the Iranians off, Iran has missiles that are within range of their countries.  The UN doesnt have the balls to do anything either (plus you have Russia and China who'll oppose a lot on the Security Council).  Frankly, I think Israel is the only one who can be counted on to do anything at all--which in their case is going to be military action.  That, sadly, is going to drag us (the U.S.), if not Europe, in as well.
72968
Not frustrated, this is to be expected, and absolutely, eventually somebody will have to act, it will not be a united UN.\n\n---\n\nIn response to themayorbynight, this is not complicated situation at all. Sanctions against Iran are not going to impact oil at all, Iran is not a significant oil producing nation. We have a leader with the same rhethoric as Hitler, threatening neighbors and openly resolving to arm his nation to be able to do more than threaten. The answers is very simple, he must be stopped. Its unclear how sanctions will bring this about, so as I see it Iran has a choice, do so now willingly, or be forced to do so. It's pretty black and white.
327935
Are you serious?Iran is the world's fourth largest oil-exporter.If the international community does anything to Iran the latter will stop exporting oil and then what do you think will happen to the world economy?It'll burst like a party balloon.And that's worse for the world isn't it?This whole is issue is politically motivated and once oil-prices start feeling the heat it'll all be sorted out amicably.Its all about the money my friend-noone gives a fu-k about whether or not our Yiddish friends are feeling secure down there.In any case Iran won't have the balls to stir up some nuclear bullsh*t with the Israelis-if they do Mossad will have Teheran levelled before you can say "Zionist Crusader"!
454565
Iran is not going to be able to develop nuclear weapons and a lot of nations, not just the U.S. would stand to oppose it with military force if need be.\n\nThe funny thing is, like most middle east oil producers, Iran has less than 13 months of capital to support its economy. A real embargo, a true cessation of all oil exports would so cripple the nation I doubt its government would last 90 days.\n\nSadly the east and west are so dependent on petroleum that solution is not likely to happen.
239809
I think you must go ask Iranians there about it, New rooz has passed but there are about 10 days to sizdeh bidar
125188
It's delicate. My guess is that Iran will take Russia's offer for enrichment at least for now. I'm quite sure their research will go on, which means sooner or later someone's gonna call their bluff and then it won't matter whether they've been onest about the purpose of their program.\nThe sad thing is Iran still has the NPT and international law on it's side since none of the accusers managed to prove its program is -not- entirely civilian. \nWar right now would be damn inconvenient for US since to most neutral countries it will appear and incessant bullying and some might rally behind Iran, Syria and Venezuela.\nUS can't exploit Iraq oil just yet. Of course US companies will be preffered for drilling and/or refining Iraq oil but they have to wait for the situation in Iraq and give the appearance of elections.
123448
Actually in my opinion.. It will be Israel that cripples Iran and it's "nuclear research".. The jews will not wait around for any longer than six months to see what happens with the UN sanctions..\n\nThe USA will be attacking Syria to destroy the headquarters of Hamas and Al-Quaeda inside of Damasacus after Iran is neutralized and Iraq is under the control of the Iraqi security forces...
525492
Of course not.  With the current most likely scenarios this will not happen.  If Iran continues its path of nuclear development, they will be increasingly separated from the rest of the world including some of the other Mid-East nations.  At some point a “face saving” way will be found so that they change direction or at some point the people of Iran will alter their government.
689599
Yes, it appears to me that several events are starting to line up quickly. Hamas and the cut off of their funds is a ticking time bomb. The Iranian president is trying to provoke a conflict with the west in a attempt to usher in the Muslim messiah. If the U.S. or Israel attacks Iran their will be a response that could be the one foretold in Ez ch 38. That in turn could be the conflict that results in a peace treaty with Israel which is the start of the tribulation.
529407
You'll see after a few days the boycott will show the great \nimpact it caused on the U.S.. A few people will be speechless.
675970
I hope not.. it would be a big mistake if they attacked Iran