Do you think that in the future there will be a superpower shift from America to China?
338935
Well, i'm glad you're seeing world with a wide vision..\n\nYes in 2004 a statistical survey was conducted by US banks & financial institutions... Major banks like JP Morgan was involved to study the world economy after few decades... the survey produced an astonishing result!\n\nRESULT: After 50 years, China and India will fight for the world number 1 spot, with US behind by 1/2 ranks...\n\n1. China / India\n2. Japan / US\n\nThe suryvey was based on the current growth of china & India, but if the rate depreciates then the result may be different...\n\nReasons: \n\n* China will become the world leader in exports of consumer products, electronics, computer hardware services...\n\n* India will become the world leader in software industry and export man power worldwide to make its economy boom.. India already leads manpower in s/w industry\n\n* Japan will also be the world leader in automobile, electronics, technology...\n\n* US will be the world leader in research, technology, arms & weapons exports...but economy made down by constant terrorist wars and other competitors like china...\n\nThe World No 1 spot:\n\n* China has major chances than India because of its world largest communism idealogy. Even after supports from world biggest democratic countries, India will lose because of infrastructure and democratic beaureacracy..
86033
China isn't going to be the "absolute power."  While technologically they are moving quite fast, socially and politically, they are generations behind.  During the 1980s, it was the belief that the Germans and the Japanese would become two of the dominant forces in the world, possibly even passing the US.  But, less than a decade later, both economies were crashing.\n\nI don't think the USA will "crash off" either.  The only way the US would really run into a problem is through isolationism.  I think the idea of countries as superpowers are going to lose their luster since the end of the Cold War.  Instead, it will become consortiums, such as NATO, the EU and OPEC.\n\nAs much as some people would hope the US would dissolve, they don't realize the true potential for it.  We are so invested throughout the world, through economic and social foundations.  The US donates more money to humanitarian causes that anywhere else, and we have the largest economy, both for consumption and production.
18581
I think so.  China has a huge military.  But the US military is far more advanced.  Thats why the chinese military is striving to be like the US.  I think it would be nasty, violent, and numerous casualties, but the US would win in the end.
25971
As with much in life, the first matter to explore is who has the desire for global power? This then comes back to the human wants and desires which are then collectively expressed by what can broadly be described by the term " culture". Most cultures (political and religious) are inherently competitive. \nSo how will the US loose its power? By repeating the example of the Roman empire - by becomming fat, lazy and the decay of moral standards. \nWhat can be said about a society where the most visible icons are vacuouse "celebrities" who parade their promiscous sex and drug lifestyles and the masses actually admire them!! It wasnt always so. America became great while it still had moral and ethical belief as its guiding light. \n\nSo the question then can be asked - which cultures exhibit the desire to challenge the prevailing world order?\n China is definitely one of my picks. In recent yrs China has made it very plain that it no longer wishes to be inward-looking but wants to become the dominant power on the planet. As it happens, western liberal politics is actually enabling that to happen as we speak by rampant increasing trade, investment and exporting jobs (ie wealth) from the west to China. Can China supplant the US?  My pick is absolutely and given China's history and cultural outlook on the rest of the world, it would not be a benign power that upheld freedom but a highly controlling one ( such as in Orwell's book "1984"). Consider also the horrors of the "Cultural Revolution". (read book "Wild Swans" by Jung Chang)\nSeeing the growing weakness and decay of the US, China is currently spending up large on military capability that goes way beyond any reasonable defense needs. This already concerns the US and in 5-10yrs could match or even surpass.  \n\nGiven Ive chosen to focus on cultural competition, the other megatrend in  my view is that of Islamization (or Islamo-facism as some have described it). The muslim world view is very disturbing to a western liberal such as myself (read the koran yourself - see link in sources)and the recent aggressive action against western values and societies (from 9/11, to French riots, to Sydney riots etc) is just the tip of the iceberg. With western national identities and cultures being ever more diluted in favour of "multicultural societies" (which include massive Muslim enclaves - in Sydney the Police fear to enter such neighbourhoods), the collective will of these multi-cultural societies to stand against competion from other cultures has been substantially weakened and continues to erode from the inside. You need look no further than the impotence of the French to deal with the riots decisively. \nMuslim nations have chosen non-conventional warfare as they dont have the military capability or the expertise to wage open warefare. But terrorism from without, coupled with substantial populations of Muslims inside western countries (over 2 million in US; over 6 million in France; some 350,000 in/around Sydney)are a threat that the west is still largely  blind to. \nBut is it possible for Islamic nations to become a superpower?  Maybe - all its takes is for the US to become weaker and for a revised definition of what a superpower is. Indonesia (the most populous Muslim country with some 120 mill people has a substantial standing army or close to 200,000) could in theory overrun Australia / New Zealand to start with. While at present Australia has superiority in air and sea capability, the gap is not that great. New Zealand has no air force and tiny navy.   \nAmerica did take up the challenge post 9/11 and the limits of military power have been starkly exposed. \nIs America still the undesputed superpower? No. American economic power is also slipping fast. All hail the WTO and unbridled pursuit of short term, short sighted profit that ignores national interests !
396578
What exactly do you mean by "great"? If you're mean great economically, militarily, and influentially, then the answer is probably yes. However, how it will exercise that power will determine whether it is great or not.\n\nSo really, there is no answer to your question at the moment . All we know is that China will be a huge influence on the World in this century.
509050
i hope so...i wish America will have closer ties to India and eventually move our factories out of china and into India. i trust the Indian government much more than china
149682
China will be the most powerful country and United States will obey China's politics. . .
596158
United State will remain as a military superpower for a while. However, the economical power is expected to be modified in the next 20-30 years. Things that may affect the supremacy of American economy are: the economical rise of China and India, and the end of the dollar as the sole international trade currency. Of critical importance for the economy of the US is the fact that ALL oil transactions are made in dollars. As some nations begin to push for trading oil  using euros, this monopoly is being challenged. However, it is not clear who will become the economic new power. It may happen that no nation will become a Superpower.
589496
Yes it will if it does not maintain its superiority in the technology that controls the new technological age ahread.\n\nIn the 16th 17th and 18th centuries the great empires relied upon technological command of the seas. Portugal and Spain split the new world and far east into two parts between.  The Pacific was a Spanish lake with the exception of the agreed upon division with Portugal.  The energy provided by Spanish sea power created and maintained this empire for over a hundred and fifty years.  The Dutch and English then began their rise to power based upon technological innovation in sea power and the massive loss of the Spanish Amada in the English Channel.  The race for sea energy was won by the English over the Dutch while the French, by virtue of their developing fleet, challanged the English in a world war the resulted in the French losing colonies all over the world, including in North America.  By 1765 English sea power had become supreme in the world.  The United Stats, as it developed, began as a sea power not long after its independence, but, it was British sea power that controlled the world sea lanes.\n\nAt the same time England was able to advance beyond all other nations in technolocical development because of the industrial revolution  going there due to the discovery of vast amounts of coal and iron for the making of cheap steel. England maintained its world leadership and extended its empire until world war I when its decline began and the rise of U.S. power began.   Again the U.S. rise to power resulted from its technological development of energy from oil which became abundant in the U.S. after 1900.\n\nBy 1900 it was clear to American naval leaders that sea power is what controlled the world and that sea power would be controlled by those who controlled the energy (oil) that would propell the ships of the 20th century navy.  Thus the U.S. began its rise as a sea power based upon its control of a huge supply of oil.  By the end of world war II it was the only superpower,until the Soviet Union decided to challange it with resources that it did not have until it finally  collapsed in the late 20th century.\n\nSince before World War II the search for energy and and the control of energy has motivated and created the American empire.  America's energy at home, however, is running out and it has become dependent on oil located in lands that, for a variety of reasons, have become hostile to the U.S.\nIn addition new powers are arising: China, India, Indonesia, all of which are developing and have a new and great need for oil.  The supply of oil to the U.S., therefore,is shrinking and the price is, therefore, rising.\n\nSo you see why we are really in Irac which has a vast untapped oil supply.\n\nHowever, oil is going to run out for everyone some time.  So the question of American superiority needs to address the energy that will follow oil.  This is wind, geothermal,hydrogen, vegatable, the sun itself directly, atomic and who knows what might be developed in the future.\n\nThus the battle for oil is shortsighted and American superiority can be maintained only it is is able reduce its dependence on oil and take control of the new energy technologies of the future.
1071970
The future of the United States is bright, indeed.  I had doubts a short while back, but people are remembering how to speak up.\nWe will always be powerful, perhaps the top superpower, but we will never try to stop someone from being more successful if they have their people's interests at heart.  Oh, we'll protect our interests, but we have always cheered the success of other countries who serve their people first and their ideology last.   Should everyone be a capitalist, a representative democratic republic?  I don't think so, but there are going to be more, and we'll have to compete with them, and I'll love every second of it.  Competition that isn't based on the slavery of a people (like China is close to) is to be commended and encouraged.\n\nIf there is another superpower that grows above us, I suspect that we'll have a hand in making it that way.  After all, we've been helping all our "older brothers" (older countries) for some time now.  It would be nice if they could do it on their own so we could enjoy our youth and riches a bit more.  \n\nEuropean Union?  Go for it!  China getting more democratic and keeping it's power?  We're with you!  Russia regaining world attention but remaining a people-first state?  Great!\n\nWe'll be there, probably contentedly resting on our laurels until we're woken again.  For now, we're awake and stomping our feet on the one's who woke us up unjustly.  After they're dust, we'll go back to slumber and do business as usual, but we'll never be less than a giant.
213815
It is too hard to tell right now, but that does seem to be a good guess at this point.  Their economy is growing at an insane rate and their population makes the US look like a small village.\n\nOne problem for China though is the unity of the people.  From what I have heard, many of the Chinese in rural areas and in certain sections of the country do not feel a strong attachment to the government, and some even want independence.  The repressive government is also not helping matters.  With such a large area and so many people it is very difficult to maintain unity.\n\nIt will be interesting to see what happens, but I hope if the future does belong to China that it will be accompanied by rational and democratic reforms and an overhaul of their human rights policies (or lack of).
494367
China will never assume the role of Big Brother. It is something that the US has push onto the international scene. That kind of attitude or approach is against traditional Confucianism. China will work with other major powers to influence other countries, it will never take the direct approach the US does.
953494
China is a power to reckon with in the future especially that it s booming a an economic power.  Later, it might develop  superior arms and might engage in military adventurism in conquering other countries.
44142
China IS the super power, lying dormant. More people of that race exist than any other, and they have the technology, or could develop it, to win a world war against anyone. More likely, however, rather than start a war, they will defeat any enemy (or "lord it over" a "friend") economically: they loan money to the U.S. now.
639908
Agree it'll be China - the population pressures, increasing demand for other goods, a developing financial market structure, booming industry all point to economic expansion. Sheer size indicates its importance as a market and the hegemony it will project.\n\nAustralia just doesn't have the market mover potential, nor the military, nor the power projection.\n\nAnother possibility is the EU, once they cope with the unemployment, immigration and inflationary pressures.\n\nIt is entirely possible there will be no superpower for a while.
314036
China is pretty smart... I think we can all agree they have an artifically devalued currecy, which gives them a nice advantage in the world market, but hey it's not like the U.S. doesn't have some nice advatages too. I worry a lot about human rights issues there and I wish they could maybe set a little better example for Southeast Asia. But as for it's role in the international community, it's a billion people, huge workforce for potentially cheap labor and huge market for imported goods. The needs are pushing up the prices for goods internationally though, like oil, but hey that's consumerism.
1140062
Most definitely yes.\nChina is a very Old and disciplined country that has survived\nfor so many years. thus their huge population.\nThey have the technology and resources to control the world economically. It will be through economic rule that China will be able to dominate the world.\nand if called on the China army is well equipped to defend itself.