how often is punxsutawney phil's prediction correct?
428321
According to the Stormfax Almanac, which has been tracking Phil's predictions since 1887, Phil has been correct only 39% of the time. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which analyzed Phil's predictions from 2008 to 2018, he was right only 40% of the time.
1461202
['Short Range-Less that 3 months. Short Range forecasts are typically the most accurate. ... ', 'Medium Range-3 months to 3 years. Medium Range forecasts are believed to be fairly accurate. ... ', 'Long Range-More than 3 years. These long term forecasts can have low accuracy, therefore requiring constant revisions and updates.']
621228
Punxsutawney's Groundhog Day celebrations are live-streamed beginning at 6 a.m. Phil will make his predication around 7:25 a.m. You can watch that on the Pennsylvania tourism bureau website. Since 1988, Phil has been right 14 times and wrong 18 times, according to USA Today.
242633
In 2019, the 133rd year of the tradition, the groundhog was summoned to come out at 7:25 am on February 2, but did not see its shadow. Fans of Punxsutawney Phil awaited his arrival starting at 6:00 a.m., thanks to a live stream provided by Visit Pennsylvania.
115681
According to the lore, there is only one Phil, and all other groundhogs are impostors. ... Several other towns in the region hold similar Groundhog Day events. Each year two scrolls are prepared by the vice president of the Inner Circle: One says early spring and the other says six more weeks of winter.
434261
Picture of Punxsutawney Phil. Birthday Card on February 2nd from Punxsutawney Phil.
832133
Punxsutawney held its first Groundhog Day in the 1800s. The first official trek to Gobbler's Knob was made on February 2, 1887. Why is his name Phil? So the story goes, Punxsutawney Phil was named after King Phillip.
1199183
Where is Punxsutawney? According to folklore, groundhog Phil lives in his tiny hill in Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney where he emerges from his deep sleep every year. Punxsutawney is a town with a population of just under 6,000 people in Jefferson County, about one and a half hours northeast of Pittsburgh.
1161564
Probably not though, but hey, it's just a prediction. He has gotten a few fake formulas in the past. In the episode “Plankton's Army”, He gets the “formula”, and when he opens it, it states that one of the ingredients in a Krabby Patty is plankton.
158222
Groundhog Day 2020: Punxsutawney Phil sees no shadow, predicts early spring. For many in the Lower 48, it's been a year without a winter. Temperatures have stayed well above average, while snow has been scarce.
451042
Predictions are guesses, but not wild guesses. Predictions use the observations to learn what might happen in the future. On the other hand, an inference also uses observations, along with evidence and reasoning, to learn what might have happened in the past or in the present.
795918
Punxsutawney Phil Just Emerged for Groundhog Day. Find Out When Spring Is Coming. Bad news for warm-weather fans: beloved groundhog Punxsutawney Phil has seen his shadow, therefore predicting that winter will stick around for another six weeks in 2018.
201880
Most scientific analyses of the accuracy of Farmers' Almanac forecasts have shown a 50% rate of accuracy, no greater than random chance, but higher than that of groundhog prognostication, another folklore method of forecasting.
740293
During the rest of the year, he lives in the Punxsutawney Library with his “wife" Phyllis. A special group known as the “Inner Circle" takes care of Phil year-round. The Inner Circle is also responsible for planning Groundhog Day festivities in Punxsutawney, the site of the largest Groundhog Day celebration in America.
853040
Groundhog Day 2020: Punxsutawney Phil sees no shadow, predicts early spring. For many in the Lower 48, it's been a year without a winter. Temperatures have stayed well above average, while snow has been scarce. ... According to groundhog Punxsutawney Phil, it's the latter, and we'll have an early spring.
604418
According to the tradition, if Phil sees his shadow and returns to his hole, he has predicted six more weeks of winter-like weather. ... The Inner Circle scripts the Groundhog Day ceremonies in advance, with the Inner Circle deciding beforehand whether Phil will see his shadow.
259267
What time will the groundhog come out? Phil is set to emerge at around 12:20pm this afternoon.