how often is punxsutawney phil correct?
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According to tradition, if a groundhog sees its shadow, there will be six more weeks of winter, while no groundhog shadow means early spring. The best known weather-forecasting groundhog is Punxsutawney Phil. Outside organizations (Stormfax Almanac, NOAA) have tracked Phil to be correct only 39-40% of the time.
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Turns out his track record for weather prediction isn't 100% … or even 50%. Since 1887, Phil and his predecessors have seen their shadow 104 times, and not seen it only 19 times. According to the Stormfax Almanac, which has been tracking Phil's predictions since 1887, Phil has been correct only 39% of the time.
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As the tradition goes, every year on February 2, Phil the groundhog comes out of his hole in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. If he sees his shadow, we'll supposedly get 6 more weeks of winter. If he doesn't see his shadow, winter is supposedly over.
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Answer Expert Verified The correct answer is - a habit.
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World-famous groundhog Punxsutawney Phil lives at the library when he's waiting for his special day. ... Memorial Library.
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In 1887, a local newspaper editor declared Phil, whose full title is “Punxsutawney Phil, Seer of Seers, Sage of Sages, Prognosticator of Prognosticators and Weather Prophet Extraordinary,” to be the United States' only true weather-forecasting groundhog.
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Data from the Stormfax Almanac's data shows that Phil's six-week prognostications have been correct about 39 percent of the time. ... That's a 50 percent accuracy rate. So you'll be better off flipping a coin than going by the groundhog's predictions."
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The sentence “Are you as bored as I am ” can be said backwards and still make sense. Ma I sa derob sa uoy era. Checks out.
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Apu Nahasapeemapetilon is a recurring character in the animated TV series The Simpsons. He is an Indian-American immigrant proprietor who runs the Kwik-E-Mart, a popular convenience store in Springfield, and is best known for his catchphrase, "Thank you, come again."
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There has only been one Punxsutawney Phil. He has been making predictions since 1886! Punxsutawney Phil gets his longevity from drinking the "elixir of life," a secret recipe. Phil takes one sip every summer at the Groundhog Picnic and it magically gives him seven more years of life.
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The various incarnations of Punxsutawney Phil have seen their shadow 103 times (more winter) and reported no shadow, or early springs, 20 times (including this year). And in 1942, apparently, Phil saw a partial shadow, which was counted as "no shadow," according to Stormfax Almanac.
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According to the Groundhog Club's records, the various incarnations of Punxsutawney Phil have predicted 103 forecasts of more winter and 20 early springs (including this year).
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One of the most popular landmarks in Punxsutawney and in Western PA is Gobbler's Knob. It is the site of the annual Groundhog Day celebration and where Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction every February 2nd. Thousands of visitors come to Gobbler's Knob on Groundhog Day as well as throughout the rest of the year.
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Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow this year. ... The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, takes care of Phil year-round, and on each Feb. 2, members of the club's Inner Circle rouse Phil at sunrise to see if he casts a shadow.
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Phil is at least 132 years old, according to the Inner Circle of the Groundhog Club in Punxsutawney. However this would physically be impossible as each ancient groundhog lives to be between six and eight years. He reportedly takes a magical potion each summer to extend his lifespan.
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Research suggests drug-dogs are right about half the time The Washington Post states that multiple studies have found that drug-dogs have high error rates. Some analyses suggest the dogs are correct around 50 percent of the time. This places their accuracy as about the same as a coin toss.
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Proverb. a stopped clock is right twice a day. A normally unreliable person or instrument can occasionally provide correct information, even if only by accident.