Not All Is Gloomy in Real Estate: A Blog Network Attracts Capital
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Property-focused Web sites may be insulated from the woes of the real estate market in a way that traditional sites may not be.
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Talk about your communications revolutions -- at no time in history has it been easier to share ideas with the masses. A decade after "weblog" enters the cultural vocabulary, the web publishing phenomenon continues to grow and change.
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The real estate market these days is a tale of two Americas, and one of them is not doing too badly.
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MarketWatch is sold for $500 million and Slate is next. Will there be a spate of other sites on the block? Probably, but the most fevered M & #038;A activity will be among blogs. Commentary by Adam L. Penenberg.
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By Steve Bonser, Santa Barbara News-Press, Calif.  Feb. 13--Jim Wooster, a retired investor, brings up a Web page on his  laptop in his New York high-rise condo. After a few mouse clicks, he's viewing  the activity log of the security system that's protecting his upper Riviera  home.
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An online tool makes it easier to dig up your broker's dirt.
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By Stephanie Armour  As the job market heats up, interest in online business networking is starting to soar -- turning a one-time novelty into a necessity for millions of business professionals in search of jobs or business contacts.
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News flash: Realtors may be biased toward real estate.
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Before heading over to the Web 2.0 conference at the Palace Hotel in SF this morning, I couldn't resist doing some more digging into alternate user interfaces for news reading based on the NY Times keywords.  One thing I learned the hard way is that when you access the Times site from a script (not through a browser) if you try to read an article that's too old (not sure what the time limit is) it tries to redirect you to a login page (which is pretty pointless considering that there's no human being around to log in). I hit this problem yesterday, and then hit it again this morning, but couldn't remember what the problem was. So by writing it up this time I hope to remember.  No doubt some debunked hack journalist posing as a tech industry mogul will slander me for this, but the asshat asshole has no idea how blogging works, and who the fuck cares what he thinks anyway. "cheesecake"
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We see the Web serving as a way for consumers to get access to information (photos, listings, descriptions, etc.) and make more informed choices of how to allocate their real-time engagement with a Realtor or a ...
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By George Chamberlin , Daily Transcript Financial Correspondent. Rising residential real estate values have been a blessing for many households.
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Landlords are enjoying booming times these days as more people are choosing to rent.
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Explore the myriad of distribution points -- automated data crunchers, search engines, social networks and fellow bloggers -- a blogger's words take on their way to readers.
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Not everyone has suffered from the current housing slump. Exceptions include entrepreneurs with deep experience in real estate and those who have carved out a special niche.
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http://www.StrutYourHut.com  launches as a fun Real Estate site where the creators say, "Real Estate  Gets Personal." StrutYourHut.comSM is a  FREE online Real Estate community where Buyers and Renters are  personally introduced to homes and apartments.
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Could blogging be near the peak of its popularity? The technology gurus at Gartner Inc. believe so.
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Are crowds really wise? A growing number of businesses are betting they are. The latest venture is a new incarnation of The Industry Standard, the poster child for the rise ? and precipitous fall ? of the dot-com boom.                                                    Published by International Data Group (InfoWorld?s parent company), the new Industry Standard won?t be the telephone-directory-sized magazine of 1999; in fact, it won?t be a magazine at all. The Industry Standard, which launched this morning, is a Web site featuring editorial content about online business, with social networking components and an online ?casino? where readers make mock-currency bets based on their predictions about trends and events in the world of technology.You might think that bets placed with Monopoly money wouldn?t be meaningful. You?d be wrong. A significant body of academic research supports the idea that predictive markets ? such as Iowa?s Electronic Markets, which features small wagers in real money on national politics ? actually outperform conventional polls, whether or not real money is involved. Moreover, the data generated by those markets has real value.Hewlett-Packard, for example, has been experimenting with an internal predictive market for at least seven years. In one early trial, sales people were encouraged to bet on the number of printers the company would sell. The result? The bettors? predictions were closer to the actual sales numbers than HP?s own internal forecast, said Bernardo Huberman, director of information dynamics at HP Labs.Emile Servan-Schreiber, a cognitive scientist and artificial intelligence engineer who co-founded NewsFutures, a five-year old, online predictive market, says that Google, Microsoft, and perhaps 100 other companies are also experimenting with internal predictive markets. And HP, said Huberman, plans to monetize its work by selling predictive market software and possibly running markets for other companies.Indeed, the global equities markets are, in effect, predictive markets, said Stanford University?s William Sharpe, a Nobel Prize-winning economist. Prices, he said, are very efficient accumulators of information. What about predictive markets for politics and other arenas? ?I?d much rather look at the Iowa market than any of the polls. It?s more accurate,? he said.Betting on the White House ? and more It?s generally illegal in the United States to bet real money in a predictive market. But the Iowa Electronic Markets was granted an exemption because it is widely used for academic research.It works like this: A given candidate ? say, Hillary Clinton ? is represented by shares of virtual stock. In the event that she actually wins the nomination, each share will be worth $1 in real money. If she fails, the stock becomes worthless. Until the day of the actual nomination, traders can buy and sell ? and even short ? her stock.On the evening of Feb. 1, her shares were selling for a bit more than 59 cents, while rival Barack Obama?s were valued at a bit below 48 cents. On the Republican side, shares of John McCain had soared to 82 cents, well above his closest competitor, Mitt Romney, at 12 centsThe money at stake in the Iowa market isn?t large; the maximum investment is just $500. But it attracts legions of savvy political junkies, whose opinions are remarkably prescient. How prescient? The University of Iowa?s business school recently audited the market and found that, since 1988, it beat the conventional polls? accuracy by an average of 74 percent. Bet2give, part of NewsFutures, also uses real money, but any winnings go to the charity of the trader?s choice.Readers of the new Industry Standard will be able to bet fake money on a variety of topics related to online business.? For example, a prediction might state, ?Apple will ship 10 million iPhones by the end of 2008? or ?High-tech venture funding will decrease by 15 percent in Q2 2008.?The predictive market is just one leg of the new publication?s offerings. It will also feature news stories and columns by influential industry thinkers such as Guy Kawasaki, an entrepreneur most famous for his former role as Apple's ?chief evangelist,? and Mark Anderson, CEO of the Strategic News Service.Optimum conditions for wise crowds Remember the old IT dictum ?garbage in, garbage out?? The same applies to predictive markets. After all, ?the problem with the global village is all the global village idiots,? a saying that blogger Paul Ginsparg popularized.The New Yorker columnist James Surowiecki, whose book The Wisdom of Crowds is widely credited with igniting the boom in predictive markets, said crowds can be smart if they address four conditions: diversity, independence, decentralization, and aggregation.Why decentralize? Good decisions (or good bets) are made by individuals based on their own local and specific knowledge. The open source software development process is an example of decentralization in action.Diversity is achieved largely through the absence of hierarchy (markets don?t have vice presidents) which ensures that no single person has too much influence and that diverse viewpoints don?t get shut out, said Surowiecki.That may be why the new Industry Standard won?t have is an editor in chief. ?No single voice will dominate the discussion, which is why we decided to forgo the somewhat print-centric idea of an editor in chief, despite talking to some great people for the position,? said Managing Editor Ian Lamont. ?We want readers to get viewpoints from the widest range of contributors possible, with the common theme being that these contributors are all people who believe that the Web is a major paradigm shift in business.?Turning crowd predictions into revenues HP has refined Surowiecki?s ideas, developing a methodology that may improve the quality of predictions while using a group, instead of a crowd. Assuming that more knowledge equals a better prediction, HP?s Huberman and researchers Leslie Fine and Kay-Ute Chen select participants with knowledge of a specific area ? supply chains, for example ? and then have them play a stock-market-based game.The results of the game let the researchers grade traders on their willingness to take ? or avoid ? risk. They then participate in a market, and their predictions are adjusted by their risk scores. The players win real money, and their predictions are of real use to the company, Huberman said.One of the most successful predictive markets, the Hollywood Stock Exchange, takes play-money bets on weekly movie grosses, Oscar nominations, and the like. Traders? predictions of opening-weekend returns are more accurate than the movie industry?s forecasts, and the exchange has done a good job of foreseeing nominations as well. In 2002, its traders correctly predicted 35 of the 40 Oscar nominees in the top eight categories, Surowiecki wrote in The New Yorker several years ago.The exchange monetizes those predictions by slicing and dicing the data collected on the site and selling (in very real money) it to movie studios and other interested parties, said NewsFutures? Servan-Schreiber. The exchange is private, so there?s no way to estimate how much cash it generates, but it?s successful enough to have been purchased by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, a major private equity firm.Taking a leaf from that playbook, the new Industry Standard expects to sell slices of the data it collects on the predictive market via IDC, IDG?s market research arm, said Derek Butcher, The Industry Standard?s vice president and general manager.