Microsoft-Yahoo deal: What about developers?
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While observers believe that Microsoft is willing to pay Yahoo $44 billion primarily for its users and advertising base, Microsoft's chief software architect, Ray Ozzie, wants to grow its developer community as well."We respect the work Yahoo has done in the realm of creating an open development platform through its Yahoo Developer network and look forward to extending this great work to an even broader base of developers," he said during a press conference discussing Microsoft's offer on Friday.The question now is how that process would unfold. Yahoo's approach to development has indeed emphasized open source. In contrast, Microsoft has a deep investment in its proprietary .NET programming framework and Visual Studio IDE (integrated development environment). It only recently began making some overtures to the open-source community.But Microsoft also boasts a vast army of loyal developers -- something that Yahoo can't necessarily claim, although it does maintain the Yahoo Developer Network. And a Yahoo purchase clearly ties into its emerging "software-plus-services" strategy for distributing online applications.This may be a case where the pieces fit to form a serendipitous whole, according to one observer."Yahoo has the most beautiful set of [APIs] in its properties," such as for the Flickr photo-sharing site, said James Governor, an analyst with Redmonk. "But frankly, it just has not done a great job of building an ecosystem. ... there's no such thing as a 'Yahoo developer.'"Yahoo's tools hold promise but really need a high-profile evangelist pushing hard behind them, Governor argued. "The first thing I would do in taking over the company would be to get someone who really understands APIs ... to me, Jon Udell -- who is now at Microsoft -- would be ideal in this role. He would be someone I would be thinking of right away," he said.While Yahoo's APIs arguably are more consumer-oriented, they could still hold value within the average corporate shop, Governor said. "There's no reason why Flickr can't have some enterprise applicability.... For the enterprise developer, it's probably not the biggest thing in the world, but it definitely offers some cool new things."But other observers said there are obstacles as well as opportunities.John Gruber, who writes about the Web and Apple at his site, daringfireball.net, sees a major architectural clash between Microsoft and Yahoo, which has an infrastructure that incorporates Linux."I don't think Microsoft has ever bought -- and maintained -- a significant software product that wasn't written against Microsoft technology," he wrote on his blog. "So there's a paradox: Technically, I can't see how Microsoft would migrate all of Yahoo to Windows servers and software. But culturally, it just isn't in Microsoft's DNA to accept and maintain all of these PHP/FreeBSD/Linux products."Robert McLaws, a .NET developer and blogger at windows-now.com, questioned the overall wisdom of the acquisition attempt, given this inconsistency. "If one of the points in buying them is their infrastructure, but their infrastructure isn't Windows, what are they buying?" he said in an interview on Monday.Yet there's no doubt that Microsoft would move to merge its tools and assets with Yahoo's, according to Greg DeMichillie, an analyst with Directions on Microsoft and a contributor to the initial design of the .NET Framework. "Anything Microsoft does, they think about it from a platform perspective," he said.The final shape of that platform is far from clear as there are substantial redundancies between the companies' services offerings. (Purely on the development front, Yahoo and Microsoft are competing within the mashup market with their Pipes and Popfly toolsets, respectively.)For developers already wedded to the Microsoft platform, the major pitfall is the "corporate indigestion" that could follow a deal, according to DeMichillie."The biggest risk to developers is that it defocuses executives from the important job of getting a Vista successor out," he said.A Microsoft spokesperson said Monday that the company would not comment beyond materials on its Web site announcing the proposed deal.
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Is Microsoft's offer too low, too high, or just right?
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Microsoft's offer to buy Yahoo for $44.6 billion is adding more fuel to the merger craze fire. But such mega-mergers often have less than stellar results, as four examples show.
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Microsoft&#39;s offer Friday to buy Yahoo&#160;for $44.6 billion in cash and shares put a turbulent end to a heavy earnings week in which forecasts from Internet leaders worried IT investors.Internet leaders Google, Yahoo, and Amazon and a host of high-profile technology vendors this week reported fourth-quarter sales and generally muted forecasts for the next few quarters.Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer&#39;s offer letter to Yahoo&#39;s board of directors&#160;on Thursday went public Friday morning, having an immediate effect on company share prices. The offer represents a 62 percent premium over Yahoo&#39;s closing price on Thursday. In premarket trading, Yahoo shares skyrocketed. Shares closed at $28.38, up by $9.20, or 47.97 percent.Though most analysts said the deal would not likely hurt Google in the short term, Google shares closed down by $48.40, at $515.90. Shares of Microsoft, which has never done a deal this size, were down by $2.15, closing at $30.45.Considering Yahoo&#39;s likely earnings and share price increases without an acquisition, for the price Microsoft is willing to pay, the offer &quot;seems like a great deal,&quot; said Citigroup analyst Mark Mahaney in a research note.The proposal capped off a heavy earnings-report week. Though sales for the fourth quarter generally were strong, key companies, including Google and high-flying virtualization technology vendor VMware, fell short of analyst expectations.In the current economic climate in the United States, where many analysts are predicting a recession, market watchers pounce on bad news.Yahoo&#39;s fourth-quarter revenue increased, but profit fell to $206 million&#160;from $269 million one year earlier. During its financial conference call Wednesday, CEO Jerry Yang announced that the company would be laying off about 1,000 workers and talked about the U.S. economy hitting the company with &quot;headwinds.&quot;Analysts worry that the company&#39;s Panama search engine ad system, rolled out last year, has not had the positive effect that was expected. They also note that the company is vague about expected investments and that it is appearing to lose further ground to Google in the search market.In a research note, Citigroup Global Markets Equity Research downgraded its opinion on Yahoo from &quot;buy&quot; to &quot;hold.&quot; But after the Microsoft offer went public, Citigroup called the move &quot;a good fit to fix an ongoing issue.&quot;Though&#160;Google on Thursday reported a 51 percent year-on-year revenue increase&#160;to $4.83 billion for the quarter, earnings per share excluding certain items were $4.43, just below the $4.44 consensus analyst forecast. While most companies would be ecstatic to report such strong growth, the market had gotten used to Google continuing to blow past all expectations.Many market watchers take Google&#39;s miss as a sign that the faltering economy is braking the search giant. If consumers cut back spending, Google may experience a slackening in consumers&#39; desire to click on advertising. The company&#39;s continuing reliance on search revenue is bothering investors. That issue may be worrying investors more than potential competition with a merged Microsoft-Yahoo.One bright note for the week in the Internet sector was Amazon&#39;s earnings announcement on Wednesday. Amazon revenue grew 42 percent, to $5.67 billion, as income more than doubled, to $207 million. While the company&#39;s forecast for operating margins was lower than expected, its revenue forecast was higher than expected -- welcome news in a climate of worry.Then on Thursday,&#160;Amazon announced it would buy Audible.com , which sparked interest as the acquisition may help its battle against Apple in the market for spoken-word books, magazines, and radio programs. Amazon shares jumped by $3.49 to close at $77.70 Thursday, though they then drifted back down Friday.Outside the Internet arena, companies in a variety of sectors, including Lenovo, SAP, Verizon, and TSMC, reported strong fourth-quarter sales (though in SAP&#39;s case, profit was brought down by its acquisition of Business Objects). However, as usual in these times of economic uncertainty, it was&#160;VMware&#39;s disappointing quarter and weak forecast &#160;that captured the most attention.The company share price lost 34 percent of its value after VMware said Monday that revenue was $412.5 million, compared to analyst expectations of $417.4 million. Even though profit doubled, it was the revenue miss that had everyone nervous as hopes for the company were high after its red-hot IPO in December.&quot;The company&#39;s 2008 outlook suggests that low hanging fruit may have been picked and new customer signings could be slowing down,&quot; according to a UBS research note. This comment is probably right on the money. Most big-company CIOs consider server virtualization an obvious tactical move and have already implemented the technology.By market close Friday, excitement over the Microsoft offer for Yahoo may have helped push the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index into positive territory. It closed at 2413.36, up by 23.50. As economic uncertainty rules, however, IT investors are bracing for a bumpy ride over the next few quarters.
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Microsoft said&#160;its $44.6 billion offer to purchase Yahoo&#160;is &quot;fair&quot; and hinted that it may pursue a hostile takeover of the Internet company, according to a statement Microsoft made Monday in response to&#160;Yahoo&#39;s formal rejection of its buyout offer.In a statement, Microsoft said it&#39;s &quot;unfortunate&quot; that Yahoo &quot;has not embraced&quot; its proposal to combine the two companies, and the rejection of the offer &quot;does not change our belief in the strategic and financial merits of our proposal.&quot;The company also hinted that it may take the offer directly to Yahoo&#39;s shareholders, a move that could result in a hostile takeover.&quot;As we have said previously, Microsoft reserves the right to pursue all necessary steps to ensure that Yahoo&#39;s shareholders are provided with the opportunity to realize the value inherent in our proposal,&quot; Microsoft said in its statement.Earlier Monday, Yahoo formally rejected Microsoft&#39;s bid to acquire the company in a half-stock/half-cash purchase, saying it undervalued Yahoo.On Feb. 1, Microsoft offered to pay $31 per share for half of Yahoo&#39;s outstanding shares in cash -- about $22.3 billion -- and 0.9509 of a Microsoft share for the other half. Microsoft&#39;s half-cash/half-stock offer to Yahoo was valued at about $44.6 billion at the time it was made; Yahoo&#39;s share price was $19.18 at the time.However, since then Microsoft&#39;s stock has gone down while Yahoo&#39;s has risen, making the deal, under its current terms, worth less than when it was originally offered. This led to speculation that Yahoo might look for other suitors; the company is reportedly looking for about $40 per share. Yahoo&#39;s share price closed at $29.87 Monday; Microsoft&#39;s closed at $28.21.Some have speculated that Microsoft would raise its offer to the company to about $35 per share -- about midway between its original offer and Yahoo&#39;s target price -- but in its statement on Monday, the company seemed adamant about keeping the offer as it stands.&quot;We are offering shareholders superior value and the opportunity to participate in the upside of the combined company,&quot; Microsoft said. &quot;Based on conversations with stakeholders of both companies, we are confident that moving forward promptly to consummate a transaction is in the best interests of all parties.&quot;Microsoft&#39;s offer to purchase Yahoo is an attempt to join forces and improve both companies&#39; positions against Google in online advertising and services. However, many questioned both the logistical complexity and cultural differences involved in combining the companies, and there are fears that it will thwart rather than help their efforts to compete with Google.Yahoo is reportedly in talks with both AOL and Google to try to avoid being acquired by Microsoft. Analysts said Monday that Yahoo&#39;s initial rejection of the offer is more of an attempt to elicit a higher bid -- either from Microsoft or another company. If none comes, the company might decide in the future to accept Microsoft&#39;s offer as it stands, they said.
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The Yahoo bid is a dramatic statement from Microsoft, a company that delayed acknowledging the importance of emerging Web business models for so long.
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Confirming that his company had indeed been in discussions with Yahoo's senior management about a possible takeover throughout the last 18 months, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer revealed this morning he has personally placed an offer to Yahoo's board of directors, proposing a takeover whose value it estimates at $44.6 billion.
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Flirts with Danger, then goes the whole way Microsoft has agreed to purchase mobile software developer Danger Inc. for an undisclosed sum. The deal, which has not yet been finalised, means the software vendor has closed at least one bid this week - its unsolicited bid for web search competitor Yahoo! was officially snubbed earlier today.â¦
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InfoWorld - At first blush, Microsoft's proposed acquisition of Yahoo for $46.6 billion is about growing its consumer advertising and portal business to better compete wit Google.
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A smooth integration between Microsoft and Yahoo will not be a matter of simply swapping one set of software or hardware for another. It may hinge on changing deep-seated mind-sets.
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Yahoo has not reached a decision about&#160;Microsoft&#39;s acquisition offer&#160;and is considering &quot;a wide range of potential strategic alternatives,&quot; Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang said in an e-mail to employees on Wednesday.In the e-mail, which was addressed to &quot;yahoos&quot; and filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Yang said the Yahoo board is still reviewing the deal and will &quot;take the time it needs to do it right.&quot;&quot;Our board is thoughtfully evaluating a wide range of potential strategic alternatives in what is a complex and evolving landscape,&quot; he wrote in the e-mail, typed in all lowercase letters.Microsoft made its unsolicited bid for Yahoo last Friday, offering to pay $44.6 billion for the company, or 62 percent over Yahoo&#39;s closing share price Thursday. The deal would greatly expand Microsoft&#39;s search and advertising business and could help it to compete better with Google online.Yahoo is understood to be lukewarm on the offer. The company hopes a rival suitor will emerge with a counteroffer or that it can forge a deal with Google that will allow it to remain independent, according to Wednesday&#39;s Wall Street Journal newspaper, which cited unnamed sources.However, analysts have said it is unlikely another company could match Microsoft&#39;s sizeable offer, and a business deal between Yahoo and Google could raise antitrust concerns because of Google&#39;s already dominant market position.In the e-mail, Yang thanked the Yahoo staff for staying focused on their work amid the turmoil. The company has hired &quot;top advisors&quot; to assist it through the process and is focused on maximizing value for its shareholders, he said.
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Even before Microsoft offered its buyout bid, Yahoo acknowledged plans to lay off about 1,000 workers. Now, those layoffs are under way, regardless of Microsoft's acquisition hopes, with pink slips being handed to the leaders of Brickhouse and Yahoo Personals, among others.
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Microsoft&#39;s $44.6 billion offer to purchase Yahoo&#160;is a dramatic statement from a company that delayed acknowledging the importance of emerging Web business models for so long, it faced becoming an also-ran in the Web 2.0 economy.But the cultural implications of the move are so tricky that the deal could end up backfiring for both vendors if Microsoft doesn&#39;t take care to learn from its past and use Yahoo to transform its business and&#160;not just help bolster its unproven efforts in online advertising and hosted services.The unprecedented deal, which would put a sizable dent in Microsoft&#39;s wallet, would be the largest purchase ever for the company. If Microsoft is willing to spend that much money, it also has to be willing to change some old ways of thinking to make the most out of the investment, analysts say.To achieve this, analysts caution Microsoft to be careful not to view Yahoo as a one-trick pony, taken onboard only for its user base and infrastructure to bolster Microsoft&#39;s online advertising interests against Google. While this is certainly the primary reason for the deal, to make the most of it, Microsoft has to not only respect the strength of Yahoo&#39;s brand but also be willing to let go of some of its own traditional proprietary interests -- not just on the product side but in its culture as well.Microsoft has never been one to let go of its vision or proprietary interests too easily; when acquiring companies, it usually subsumes the products and services and brands them as its own.While this has worked in the past because Microsoft traditionally has shied away from acquiring big-name or big-ticket items --&#160;last year&#39;s $6 billion aQuantive deal&#160;was a notable exception -- it&#39;s not as simple to do this with a company like Yahoo, analysts said.In the areas of online search and particular services and as an online destination for users, Yahoo is a stronger brand than Microsoft. Microsoft must recognize this and be willing to give up some of its interest in new content and services branded, respectively, under MSN and Windows Live to make the deal successful, said Ned May, director and lead analyst for market research firm Outsell.&quot;The big question is, will Microsoft take this and recognize it for being a stronger property and migrate its efforts there, or will it try to push its own efforts out through Yahoo?&quot; he asked. &quot;Historically, there&#39;s no precedent for it to do anything but use [an acquired company] to get Microsoft&#39;s message out.&quot;Though Microsoft and Yahoo are different types of companies and the union itself makes much more sense, Ron Schmelzer, analyst and managing partner with Zapthink, likened the deal to Time Warner-AOL, in which AOL&#39;s brand was damaged, not enhanced, after all was said and done.But investing as much as the gross domestic product of some countries in one company could inspire Microsoft to &quot;change its stripes&quot; and rethink its own interests, he said.To make the deal a true success, Microsoft also has to prove that it can let go of its entrenched Windows OS and desktop software culture, which had been the anchor keeping Microsoft from moving more quickly against Google and Yahoo in online advertising and services in the first place, Schmelzer said.&quot;The application itself is moving away from the thing that sits captive on your desktop to the thing that&#39;s distributed on the Internet,&quot; he said. &quot;Microsoft has to rid itself of its &#39;80s and &#39;90s perspective -- which was great in the &#39;80s and &#39;90s, but now 80 percent of the value of the computer is not in the computer itself.&quot;Microsoft had been moving in this direction before Friday&#39;s news, but it has been burdened by its need to keep the customers of two of its biggest consumer products -- Windows and Office -- happy, as well as its enormous portfolio of enterprise and business customers. Instead of moving full bore into the Web, Microsoft had adopted a &quot;software plus services&quot; strategy as a nod to its software legacy and inability to move fully to a more services-oriented strategy because of it.Still, some think an entire cultural shift isn&#39;t necessary for Microsoft to make the most out of the deal. David Mitchell Smith, vice president and fellow at Gartner, said Microsoft can leverage Yahoo successfully without changing its usual way of doing things, by keeping the brand and merging the best parts of Yahoo&#39;s Internet business, such as its online content, advertising and search, with its online services efforts.&quot;I would expect to see the Yahoo brand come out of this very, very strong,&quot; he said. In particular, Microsoft has been making moves to drive more video and other multimedia content online through MSN, and that is one area where the company could give up its own identity in favor of Yahoo&#39;s, Smith said.Andrew Brust, chief, new technology for consulting firm twentysix New York, said that the combination of Microsoft&#39;s existing Web technology and the Yahoo brand would be &quot;nicely complementary,&quot; though he acknowledged the risks of such a union. Even so, &quot;risk aversion is not a good Internet strategy,&quot; Brust said. Taking a risk in this area as well as bringing &quot;some truly Internet-focused mindset into the corporate culture&quot; may be just what Microsoft needs.Others likened the deal to another risky one, HP-Compaq, which many feared would be a disaster because of product overlap and cultural differences. That deal eventually proved successful.However, it&#39;s important to keep in mind how much more of a role that culture and the cool factor plays on the Internet than it does in the world of traditional computer hardware, warned Outsell&#39;s May. He said Yahoo users may be put off by the notion of Microsoft as their new daddy and see Google as the lesser of two evils, which would defeat the notion of the Microsoft-Yahoo union in the first place.
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Mike Arrington is doing a great job of laying out the options for Yahoo wrt Microsoft's offer to buy them out. He's written two pieces that helped put it together for me. Mike clearly has great sources in the investment banking community and among potential buyers of Yahoo, and is actively talking with them. He's got a business lawyer's mind and, as you know I'm sure, he's spent the last few years immersed in web applications.  Bottom-line: Yahoo's three choices are: 1. Tough it out alone. 2. Sell advertising rights to Google. 3. Accept Microsoft's offer.  Mike argues that option 1 would result in shareholder lawsuits and in the end would get Yahoo nowhere because they'd end up selling to Microsoft eventually. Option 2 would enable them to pay a major cash dividend to their shareholders, making up for the lost windfall coming from Microsoft's offer. Options 2 and 3 have the risk of being rejected by government regulators.  Now, as a member of Yahoo's developer community, and generally a respector of Yahoo (is that a word) -- I say take the deal. I don't think Yahoo has ever had leadership that has been up to navigating the treacherous waters of tech industry economics and politics. At least with the Microsoft acquisition they would get one -- Ray Ozzie. He's a guy you can sit across the table from and plot something out and he can deliver. I've had many good meetings with Yahoo people, but rarely have they resulted in action. From my own selfish point of view, Microsoft owning Yahoo might mean that Ray makes more trips to the Bay Area (figuratively) and when he sits down, we can talk about new open interfaces and developer programs for Yahoo properties. I've read most of the commentary on the Yahoo deal, and the other piece that made an impression was Mark Cuban's. He says that Yahoo should accept the Microsoft deal because it would give them the breathing room they need re Wall Street. He argues that the market has always allowed Microsoft to sink resources into developing markets, and that's exactly what Yahoo needs to become the organization that it has been trying to be. Instead, the market treats Yahoo as a comp to Google, but Yahoo doesn't have the economics of Google, so that's, long-term, a losing battle.  There's one more reason I think Yahoo should sell to Microsoft -- the fatigue of the people. The company has been wobbly too long. If they don't take the Microsoft offer it's going to be a long wobbly decline and the shareholders will be right to be angry. Here's their chance to get out, it's time, so just do it.
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Yahoo Inc  is  reportedly in talks with News Corp (NWSa.N) to combine their  Web properties, but Wall Street analysts rained scorn on the  likelihood of a deal that can fend off Microsoft Corp's   $42.1 billion bid for Yahoo.
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InfoWorld - Microsoft has offered to buy Yahoo for $44.6 billion -- but how did a company that started so small come to be worth so much? That's a story that began in the early days of the World Wide Web, when people were struggling to keep track of the new world of multimedia it offered them.
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At first blush, Microsoft's proposed acquisition of Yahoo for $46.6 billion is about growing its consumer advertising and portal business to better compete wit Google. And that's certainly part of the mix, but perhaps lost in the discussion is how such an acquisition could help Microsoft execute its software-plus-services strategy for delivering business apps over the Internet faster and better, said several analysts. That strategy could help Microsoft compete with Google's own business-apps initiative, they said.[ Follow InfoWorld's ongoing coverage of Microsoft's offer to buy Yahoo ]"Yahoo has very efficient datacenters, as does Microsoft," noted Rob Koplowitz, a Forrester Research analyst. By combining their datacenters -- and, more important, their engineering talent -- Microsoft should be able to move faster and more efficiently on delivering business apps over the Internet, something that Microsoft has done at a fairly slow pace so far. "Yahoo's engineers can help," he noted, "And you know that there'll be engineers who are freed up" after the acquisition, should it go through."Although Google Applications have yet to make a real dent in the Microsoft Office giant, they do pose a long-term threat," said David Mitchell, a senior IT researcher at the consultancy Ovum. "As a defense against this position, Microsoft needs to accelerate its own move into online services. The online engineering capabilities that Yahoo has will undoubtedly offer Microsoft the potential to bring new services to market" and will help Microsoft stay competitive.Koplowitz said he does not believe Microsoft is trying to buy specific technology from Yahoo to fill a hole needed to compete against Google's business offerings. Microsoft wants more talent and capacity to follow its existing strategy, he said. Google's approach is to offer pure Web-based apps, which he noted are more mature than Microsoft's Web-delivered apps. Microsoft's approach is to extend its 450 million Office desktop seats through additional software delivered via the Internet. The strategies have some overlap, but because they are different, Koplowitz expects Microsoft and Google to take different technology paths rather than try to copy each other.Microsoft's acquisition of Yahoo would also bolster the company in another area where it has fallen behind Google: search, said Charlene Yi, a Forrester analyst. "Microsoft is interested in search because it provides a beachhead into businesses -- especially small and medium-sized ones that don't have a direct relationship with Microsoft," she said, as businesses typically buy Office software from retailers and resellers. Google is using search to forge those direct relationships and then offer business apps that compete with Microsoft's plans.