Economic View: When Does a Housing Slump Become a Bust?
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As experts debate whether weâre headed for a housing bust, youâd think that we should at least be able to define it.
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Business & money: Â· US economy cools with housing market problemsÂ· Bank rates expected to go in opposite directions
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Not everyone has suffered from the current housing slump. Exceptions include entrepreneurs with deep experience in real estate and those who have carved out a special niche.
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The Massachusetts housing market will remain in a slump, and by the time it hits bottom about a year from now, prices will have dropped 14 percent from the peak in 2005, according to an economic forecast released yesterday.
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Pending home sales fall, but also prove opportunity for long-term investors.
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A big overhang of property will bring  U.S. house prices down further, but it is too early to say if  the economy will plunge into recession, former Federal Reserve  chief Alan Greenspan was quoted as saying on Friday.
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Investor's Business Daily - Two mil subprime-mortgage foreclosures are expected by '09 if home prices continue to fall, according to a report by congressional Dems. The Joint Economic Committee predicted that $71 bil in housing wealth will be destroyed and states will lose $917 mil in property tax revenue. The report called for stronger action to prevent foreclosures.
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Fred Wilson thinks so. And I agree. The reason the tech sector runs in cycles of euphoric booms and deep busts is that there is little support for long-term investment in tech. The new concepts that will fuel the next boom cycle are already here, but there isn't enough money flowing into developing them. The ideas that are getting investment are more and more derivative of the original idea that fueled the boom cycle that is now (likely) coming to an end. If you look back at the last two busts, there was one in the early 90s when the software boom had run out of juice, and then in the early 00s when the web boom had run its course. In both cases, the seeds of the next boom were already planted, but the investors weren't pushing money in their direction. The savior after the early 90s bust was the web, and the second was what they call Web 2.0, which is a really lame way to describe the networked creative environment, what I called the Two-Way Web. I'm going to be in NY in October, and I hope to meet with Fred and other investors to talk about how we can soften the busts and enhance the booms.
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And so the great real estate boom has ended. Left in its wake are anxious sellers and hopeful renters, fidgety buyers and freebie-wielding developers, deserted open houses and blocks crowded with for-sale signs, scaled-back retirement plans and first-time homes that suddenly seem within reach.
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Some economists are starting to question the magnitude of housingÂs impact on national habits of spending and thrift.
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Business & money: House prices have dropped for the first time in two years, adding to worries of unstable market.
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Price drops and declining sales in the Massachusetts housing market moderated in October, two housing reports showed yesterday, suggesting that the monthslong slump in the real estate market may be nearing its end.
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The US economic outlook has suddenly darkened in the wake of data showing a stalling of the job growth machine, raising risks that a housing slump will lead to a full-blown recession, analysts say.
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WASHINGTON - New home sales plunged in November, but analysts say that a variety of economic reports released Thursday overall paint a positive picture.
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The economy has slowed down. Gasoline prices hit new highs in early August. And the once-soaring housing sector is rapidly losing altitude, raising concerns it could drag the whole country into a recession.
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A big overhang of property will bring U.S. house prices down further, but it is too early to say if the economy will plunge into recession, former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan was quoted as saying on Friday.
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Most economists don't think the real-estate bust will lead to a recession.