The Lede: A More Pessimistic Report on Iraq
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A draft of a progress report requested by Congress from the Government Accountability Office is
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WASHINGTON -- A highly classified US intelligence assessment that lays out dismal predictions for the future of Iraq -- including the possibility of civil war by 2005 -- mirrors assessments that are being made by analysts around the world, according to diplomats and members of the intelligence community.
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Petraeus and Bush put a sunny face on progress in Iraq. But two new assessments provide a morning-after jolt of reality
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Iraq's economy is weaker than at any point since the US invasion in 2003.
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A new U.S. intelligence report predicted on Friday that the situation in Iraq will deteriorate further unless efforts are made to reverse conditions, a portion of the report said.
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Violence in Iraq is down, but Iraq needs to take advantage of that.
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Today, the Lancet medical journal published a report which concludes that 100,000 civilians died in the US-led invasion of Iraq. This is an incredibly high estimate, and at first may seem too farfetched not to be propaganda. But it cannot easily be dismissed. The report's authors are researchers from Johns Hopkins University, Columbia University, and Al-Mustansiriya University in Baghdad. The Lancet is a highly-respected, peer-reviewed publication. The report appears to be a serious academic attempt to study the public health consequences of the invasion.  Also, The New Republic magazine has conducted an interview with Prof. Gilbert Burnham, the report's main author.   Excerpts and comments below.
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A U.S. intelligence report prepared for President Bush in July offered a gloomy outlook for Iraq through the end of 2005, with the worst scenario being a deterioration into civil war, government officials said on Thursday.
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THE FIGURES: Measuring by the number of insurgent attacks and U.S. dead and wounded, the situation for American forces in Iraq has worsened since summer.
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The departing CIA station chief in Iraq and another CIA official who visited the country recently have painted a pessimistic picture of the situation in the war-torn country in classified briefings to their superiors, The New York Times reported.
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Ryan C. Crocker laid out a grim forecast of what could happen if American forces were pulled back or even withdrawn from Iraq.
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A U.S. intelligence report prepared  for President Bush in July offered a gloomy outlook for Iraq  through the end of 2005, with the worst scenario being a  deterioration into civil war, government officials said on  Thursday.
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Take advantage of a pessimistic environment in Ireland.
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The fighting in Fallujah, and daily terrorist attacks by Saddam loyalists and Islamist extremists, paint a grim picture of today&#39;s Iraq.
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On the face of it, the facts of British politics are obvious enough. Tony Blair&#39;s government is unpopular; Britain is mired in what is widely perceived to be an illegitimate war in Iraq; and
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JEDDAH, 6 December 2004 - The current situation with Iraq has all the ingredients of a long-term liability to the balance sheet of America, which some day it might be a disaster to the state of world economy.
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A site called Iraqi Bloggers Central, which is quite upbeat about the American presence in Iraq, has provoked a deluge of intrigue and vitriol among its peer sites.