Late NH polls missed Clinton upswing
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Was it an eleventh-hour tide of sympathetic women, people reluctant to say they weren't backing a black candidate or problems with the polls themselves? For whatever reason, late public opinion surveys showed Barack Obama cruising to a triumph in the New Hampshire Democratic primary.
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Women returned solidly to Hillary Rodham Clinton's side, helping her overcome Barack Obama's advantage among the large independent bloc in New Hampshire's Democratic primary, an exit poll found. John McCain's experience, reputation for "straight talk" and appeal among moderates helped him beat Mitt Romney in the Republican contest.
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MANCHESTER, New Hampshire  - Led by Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican John McCain, candidates fanned out across the country on Wednesday in a presidential race dramatically reshaped by their comeback wins in New Hampshire.
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Hillary Clinton's victory in New Hampshire's Democratic presidential nominating contest confounded pollsters, who found themselves trying to explain how opinion polls got it so wrong.
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MANCHESTER, New Hampshire  - Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were running close together in early New Hampshire returns on Tuesday in a much tighter presidential race than indicated by recent U.S. public opinion polls.
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Bloomberg - Jan. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Bets that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama will win today's New Hampshire primary election climbed to 98 percent, based on online trading.
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ABOARD THE STRAIGHT  TALK EXPRESS, Jan. 7  The New Hampshire polls open in less than 24 hours, and John McCain is veering dangerously off message. In another one of his anything-goes bus sessions with reporters, he's been discussing everything from the Ohio State-LSU game to Eisenhower's 1952 cam...
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Democratic Sen. Barack Obama has edged  ahead of rival Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire less than a  month before the state's nominating primary in the 2008 race  for the White House, a new poll showed on Friday.
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With six days to go until the New Hampshire primary, there are ties in poll results for the top candidates in both parties.
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The Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primaries are history, but both presidential races are still wide open. Despite pre-election polls giving Barack Obama the lead, Hillary Clinton won the New Hampshire Democratic primary. Sen. John McCain won the Republican New Hampshire primary.
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You can do a pretty good job of following the politics leading up to Tuesday's New Hampshire primary from television in rain-soaked California. CNN has an excellent program running all afternoon called The Ballot Bowl. The format is really simple. They have cameras following the candidates and they're broadcasting their town hall stump speeches. They're authentic, based on my experience in the campaign for the 2004 New Hampshire primary. The NY Times has an excellent resource (no RSS feed apparently) that lists the candidates' schedules. It's also possible to import the schedule into Google Calendar as an overlay. ABCNews is hosting two 90-minute debates, one for each party, tonight starting at 4PM Pacific. Tomorrow Fox News is hosting a controversial Republican debate, which the Republican Party has withdrawn from because they won't let Ron Paul participate. He's polling third among the Republican candidates in New Hampshire. For once the Republicans got it right.  In the very limited time betw Iowa and New Hampshire there's a lot of action and drama. Romney all of a sudden is shamlessly the candidate for change. There was an Ahmadinejad moment when I thought for sure he was doing parody, but he was serious. He's changed his attire, but his pitch is still the sleazy VP-Sales who got promoted to CEO. Change change change, I can change too, just watch. Please die now. I don't think anyone stands for Romney.  Giuliani and Thompson are still nowhere to be seen. Edwards is doing a good job of keeping the game on. McCain is earnest and honest, but he's old and small and tired.  Obama has the aura of a front-runner and Hillary seems to believe that if only Iraq were still the big issue she would be where Obama is. Even so, according to recent polls she's likely to win New Hampshire. A lot of my friends on Twitter dismiss Huckabee, and to be clear, I could not vote for a Republican this year, no matter who their candidate is, but he is a fantastic American personality. Elections are all about feelings, not policies or positions or even records as the pundits insist. Who you vote for is a function of how you feel about the country and the world in relation to yourself. The candidate who comes closest to validating your feelings is the person you vote for. I think we'll tire of Obama quickly, and we're already tired of HIllary. I think the rational choice for each party, although many disagree, is Edwards and Huckabee because each of them tap into the well of frustration Americans feel about everything. But my guess, which will probably certainly turn out wrong, is that the Dems will nominate Obama and the Reps will nominate Huckabee, and Huck will win.  PS: After writing this, I wonder if George Lakoff would agree. I think I've just used a very Lakoffish process, unwittingly.  PPS: I went to UW-Madison. Bucky Badger is the school mascot. Our favorite cheer and T-shirt said Fuck em Bucky! It occurred to me the same slogan would work for Huckabee. PPPS: Obama? Yo mama!
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THE RACE: The presidential race for Democrats and Republicans in New Hampshire.
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Hillary Clinton's victory in New  Hampshire's Democratic presidential nominating contest  confounded pollsters, who found themselves trying to explain  how opinion polls got it so wrong.
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Clinton win in Massachusetts slows Obama's momentum, despite his early wins
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Republican Sen. John McCain grabbed an early lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation primary Tuesday night as he sought to climb back into contention for the presidential nomination. Sen. Barack Obama dueled with Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Democratic contest.
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John McCain overtook Mitt Romney for the New Hampshire lead in a new poll released Saturday, three days before the nation's first primary.
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A good ground game in New Hampshire helped. So did a new message. But the real change came from Clinton herself