Banking economists put recession odds near 50 percent
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A panel of banking economists has put the odds of a recession near 50 percent as the economy works through a housing slump this year.
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Federal Reserve chops another half point off interest rates - to 3% - in bid to head off economic recession
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Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan is hitting the airwaves promoting his new book, but his comments in recent interviews about the possibility of a recession might be scarier to IT folks than anything in the new tome.
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Goldman Sachs on Wednesday said it expects the U.S. economy to drop into recession this year, prompting the Federal Reserve to slash benchmark lending rates to 2.5 percent by the third quarter.
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Some policy makers caution that the central bankâs main tool to keep the economy from sliding into recession may be ill-suited to the problem it faces.
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No oneâs willing to hazard a guess on interest rates. But all eyes are now on Tuesdayâs mid-term review. Can any banker, bond market trader, corporate treasurer, or economist worth his salt second-guess
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There is a 40 percent chance that the United States economy will fall into recession next year, a senior analyst at Fitch Ratings said on Thursday.
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The percentage of U.S. mortgages entering foreclosure in the first three months of the year was the highest in more than 50 years. according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
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Some economists warn the market's fate hinges largely on mortgage rates because low interest rates are the reason buyers have been able to continue to afford ever-increasing home prices here.
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Forecasters said on average that there was a 47 percent chance the economy would shrink in the first quarter of 2008. Reading between the lines, recession is now unavoidable.
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Relief all round today as the Bank of England held interest rates at 4.75 per cent... The move was widely anticipated - all 50 economist polled by Reuters before the MPC met said a rise was unlikely - and was welcomed by economists.
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The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates this week, maybe by 50 basis points.
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As the country recovers from the near collapse of its fifth-largest bank this week, economists ponder how other vulnerable nations can learn from its experience.
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Business & money: Long-time Bank of England dove David Blanchflower wanted sharper half-point interest rates cut
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Alan Greenspan said the odds of a recession have grown since earlier this year, even though "the economy is not doing badly at this stage."
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Top economists warn that a recession in the US looks more likely, and urge government action.
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Business & money: Â· US economy cools with housing market problemsÂ· Bank rates expected to go in opposite directions